A lot has been said about autonomous cars, both the good and the bad. As a thought experiment, I decided to indulge in what is clearly science fiction. I’m trying for more “science” than “fiction” in that it is a speculation about what the world looks based on what where we think autonomous cars are going. I won’t speculate as to the timeframe, although I think we are still at least 2-3 decades away from this future. Replacing or obsoleting nearly 300 million cars and several million jobs isn’t a small undertaking.
I believe that self-driving cars will eventually dominate our roads. Why? Because they will deal with two things we humans care about: it means we have less work to do, and they will be safer than with a human behind the wheel. Now, it will take a while before this happens. And I think it will be a long, long time before humans are banned from driving cars on most roadways altogether. But autonomous cars are coming. It isn’t a question of “if”, it is simply a question of “when”.