Tim Cook has tried to reassure everyone that there will be “great” new desktops from Apple. The big question, of course, is what will those desktops be? Apple has focused more and more on portable computing, and desktops have been largely neglected. The MacBook has become their mainstay in the PC world. So what can we expect? I don’t know, but I am allowed to guess (and I’m allowed to be wrong, too).
Apple is wandering in the wilderness, lost and without direction. If you don’t believe me, just look at any of the product announcements they’ve made in the past few years. The lack of focus and clarity, and the 1970’s variety show feel, are a clear indicator they don’t know what they are or what they want. That former employees are speaking up only reinforces this. They’re even becoming a punchline.
A lot has been said about autonomous cars, both the good and the bad. As a thought experiment, I decided to indulge in what is clearly science fiction. I’m trying for more “science” than “fiction” in that it is a speculation about what the world looks based on what where we think autonomous cars are going. I won’t speculate as to the timeframe, although I think we are still at least 2-3 decades away from this future. Replacing or obsoleting nearly 300 million cars and several million jobs isn’t a small undertaking.
While it is tempting to try to predict and pontificate, I think it’s high time I stopped doing that. As entertaining as it is, predicting the future, even broadly, is something I’m beginning to see as a pointless exercise. Looking back is useful, and I want to do some of that here. But I’m more interesting in starting to talk about what’s next for me in 2017.